May 08, 2025

Over-Under Goals Market



The Over/Under market has proven to be a very popular market among bettors of every kind, regardless of whether they are professionals or amateurs and if they bet for fun or to make profits. The reason for this lies in the fact that football players always want to score goals. Both teams are working tirelessly in the duration of a match to score. This works in the favour of bettors because both teams are trying to achieve your objective.

There are variations to the Over/Under market depending on the choice of a bettor. Some choose to bet on teams to score a number of goals against their opposition based on their scoring form while others bet that a team will not score more than a number of goals. This can be determined by looking at their scoring records, their last five matches tell a story of how often the teams they play against concede goals is also very important. These are the stats:

The Under/Over market allows you to bet on whether the number of goals or points in a match will be above or below the given number.  In football matches, the standard number of goals is 2.5 so if you back ‘Over’ in this market, you need three goals or more to win.   If you back ‘Under’ you are looking for no more than two goals.

Over/Under 1.5

Bet over 1.5 goals and you win if there are 2 or more goals scored in the match.

Bet under 1.5 goals and you win if there is 1 or 0 goal scored in the match.

Over/Under 2.5

Bet over 2.5 goals and you win if there are 3 or more goals scored in the match.

Bet under 2.5 goals and you win if there are 2 or fewer goals scored in the match.

Over/Under 3.5

Bet over 3.5 goals and you win if there are 4 or more goals scored in the match.

Bet under 3.5 goals and you win if there are 3 or fewer goals scored in the match.

Over/Under 4.5

Bet over 4.5 goals and you win at your matched price if there are 5 or more goals scored in the match.

Bet under 4.5 goals and you win at your matched price if there are 4 or fewer goals scored in the match.

Football bettors are increasingly looking for more profitable markets than 1X2, for which a lack of goals or a late equalizer can deny even the best judgments a winning bet. A straightforward way to try and beat the bookies on the soccer front is with the Over/Under goals markets.

Find the average number of goals per game

The trick most bettors use is to look at the average goals scored per match by the two teams playing against each other, which gives an insight about how many goals will be scored. How often the teams concede goals also matters when checking for good data. The less likely both teams are to concede, the fewer goals that are likely to be scored in the match.

Calculate the probabilities

In the midst of all this, bettors also have to calculate the probabilities of the outcome they're choosing to happen. With the data available now, all of these can be done easily to increase the likelihood of winning a bet.

Determine what odds are worth betting on

Not all odds are worth putting your money on because they don't always have the value required to make a profit. So it is very important to look for odds that adds value to any stake and make a profit. This can be done by calculating the probability of an outcome happening and checking if it is reflected in the odds given. If the odds are higher than expected to be, then that odd will give value to any stake placed on it.

You can read about other interesting articles to build your sporting and betting knowledge on our blog. You can also get both free and paid prediction tips from the best tipsters here.